It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. Support local journalism. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. It was notable for having one of Australia's larger Jewish populations, at 9.9%, much higher than the nationwide 0.4%. Pht sng trc tip trn u Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 trong khun kh gii VQG Jordan full HD tc cao vi bnh lun min ph ti Trc Tip Bng . The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. LIB 29,202 2. The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. Conservatives doing better on postals isnt always the case in progressive seats. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, Adams said. . To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. Amazing result from Steph Hodgins-May and even if she doesnt win, hopefully it will energize her to try a 4th time. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. Eg. The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Rachael Bassett andAlison Dietrich are competing for the District 4 seat. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. New developments cannot be at the expense of our existing neighborhoods. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. he video of the event is the second of the three videos below. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. Political/government/civic experience: U.S. Coast Guard veteran; educator inradiologic technology; four Afghanistan deployments with the Department of Defense contractorRemote Medical International; Golf Club Estates Civic Associationboard of directors and treasurer, Campaign email:alison.dietrich@brevardhealth.org, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: None listed. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). Education:Bachelorof Science in criminal justice from Florida Gulf Coast University, Political/government/civic experience:Member of the Melbourne Citizens' Advisory Board, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: allred4d2.com; Facebook: ShawnAllred Middleton for Melbourne City Council. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. Now we have the Libs ahead of Labor by 137 votes, and the Greens only 208 votes behind, with still the following remaining: Provisionals (always favour Greens) Reports of 1000 Covid votes (both parties expect to favour Greens) Still a total 4648 postals issued but not counted. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. Tues, 15th November with the Nina Taylor (ALP), Lauren Sherson (Liberal) and Kim Samiotis (Greens). At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia 2. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. Ultimately it will come down to the mix of late and early pre-E-Day voting. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. It is named for the fact that, at the time of its creation, it was centred on Port Melbourne and Williamstown, both major ports. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. For more information, see You have entered an incorrect email address! Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. 0:36. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. 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