God help our descendents. To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. I must admit I skimmed this piece. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. Peace is said to be Wars opposite and everwhile the arming for war denies peace any opportunity of reality except in the mind of man. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. The question of what type of war the ADF should be prepared to fight represents one of the ongoing points of debate in Canberra and beyond. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! Based on history, a war is in the making. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. What am I missing? Enter your email address to subscribe to The AIMN and receive notifications of new posts by email. Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. Something went wrong, please try again later. But if Russia, China and India decide to start trading oil in their own currencies or in gold then the petrodollar becomes just one of several major currencies. War is inevitable. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. But the nation is not in a good place. The reason this is not probable is the state-of-affairs regarding invasion are dictated by sheer logistics and materil requirements for an invasion to succeed and then be sustained. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. The short-tempered outburst by Senator Palmer on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation Q&A program, to be sure was just that, an outburst. Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. 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THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Historical Statistics. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. And we are afraid of China? The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. [6] Paul Monk. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). China has stepped up presence on Australia's South Pacific neighbours former US Navy intelligence commander described bold plans as expansionist Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Kiribati ditch. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! It is at this point that the historical element as well as the dangers for other actors particularly Australia in the A-P region and the invasion scenario to which Lambie alludes can be introduced. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. I find this piece troubling. [8] Gabriel Kolko. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Chinas Per-Capita GDP has Led to a Drastic Reduction in Poverty., http://www.gallup.com/poll/166565/one-five-worldwide-living-extreme-poverty.aspx, [12] Jemima Garrett and staff. [13] James Lee Ray and Ayse Vural. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI. The Sydney Morning Herald, Sydney: Fairfax Media, 20 August, 2014. http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover (including Australia). The relative ease of attacking mainland Australia comes from the geographical distribution of our major industrial and population centres, which are located within Australias littoral. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Subscribe to ADM Premium. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. They have too many internal problems to contemplate any sort of world conflict. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. What the hell have we done? As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. 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What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. China is a completely different because it has a pax-Sino in mind not unlike the pax-Britannica of the 1800s and it has embarked upon this in earnest from the mid-1990s and it has a centurys long plan. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. Maybe her comment was not as stupid as everybody thought at the time. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. The ADFs combat experience in campaigns fought in the Middle East and Afghanistan is valuable, but would it help to fight against a high tempo campaign near-peer adversary? Remember our diplomats are not representative of our government and as career bureaucrats have a much more subtle take on diplomacy and very personal cntacts with its leaders. But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. For peace to come about either locally or globally, a major reappraisal of Language and all the edifices of modern life are called into question. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Jacqui Lambie!! Many are asking what lessons China is drawing from Russia's invasion of Ukraine for its own plans to bring Taiwan to heel. Similarly, China can regularise and intensify cyber-attacks on Australian key assets to cause more disruption and inflict more damage. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. The four major challenges Australia faces in 2022 There are major challenges the world will have to face this year over and above COVID-19, the first being the management of the rise of China. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. Who cares as long as we have god on our side, and Captain Catholic. @ stephengb: I cannot hep wondering why discussions about taxation. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. Sydney: Murdoch Press. "Our judgement at least is that (China's . This was followed by a further dictum from his colleague Senator Jacqui Lambie speaking about the potential of a Chinese invasion and whats more, she has refused to withdraw her comment. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. Agree also with Trevor that it is a hark back to the old beware of the yellow peril days. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. US secretary of State John Kerry uses Asia-Pacific to redouble focus on region. Australia Network News, 14 August, 2014 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. As the late ex-PM, Mr Fraser warned us, dont count on America in saving Australia, from an potential attack from China, America can no longer even save itself ! Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. These are clear examples of preponderance and to believe China is not on a similar pathway modelled on British and American history is to deliberately ignore the evidence. November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. Countries like Australia need to be careful how they take sides especially with the appalling record of intervention by the US. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. Or so it seems. Agree with all comments . It saddens me that our governments are so imbecilic that they cannot see past their current term or the noses on their faces and are selling out future generations. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. Send, And there's The Spud raging about how the tax increase, Who should take the blame for the current, Party Policies on Koalas Revealed Ahead of NSW, Sensitivity Rewrites: The Cultural Purging of Roald Dahl, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932, http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html, http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world, MP Tudge Leaves In Order To Spend Less Time With. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. Nuh still something wrong. That sounds frightening!!! It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. 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